0x1c3cdc2caa24eeb9434100f82ac32c22a26b1b01
0x1c3cdc2caa24eeb9434100f82ac32c22a26b1b01
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
130261 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.3K
$178.20
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
20000 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
- NO
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
15000 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
10156 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-121.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.56Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.60Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.63Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.