Tepid-Clavier
0x1c41137aaf1734e567bbb90a0dd1fd23389c1533
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-432.60
Realised
$11.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
4329 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.36
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
3073 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-313.87
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
362 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?
145 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-13.52
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ALCARAZ
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
61 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
53 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-25.15
- NO
Will Trump say "Melania" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$2.00Mar 2, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$5.00Mar 2, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$3.00Mar 2, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLArne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?$2.89Dec 6, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$9.27Dec 5, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?$5.00Dec 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYArne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?$5.00Dec 4, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$9.00Dec 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 19?$13.52Nov 19, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA say "Gaming" during earnings call?$1.00Nov 19, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?$5.00Nov 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$19.52Nov 19, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$10.52Nov 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$100.00Nov 18, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$53.24Nov 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$49.86Nov 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$20.00Nov 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$20.00Nov 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$20.00Nov 17, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 12:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.