Muted-Chair
0x1c4a26c3484e20bb36a4adcf419cf2484c794d98
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$150.15
Total PnL
$-47.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
150 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$150.15
$0.90
- YES
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 33m?
595 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
489 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
352 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.06
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
330 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-17.82
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
190 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$220.00Jun 4, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$20.06Mar 29, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$149.25Mar 24, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$219.34Mar 23, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$280.11Mar 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$273.84Mar 12, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 33m?$4.13Nov 8, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$17.82Oct 30, 17:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 30, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$69.23Oct 29, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$119.04Oct 29, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?$150.10Oct 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$215.00Oct 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?$260.00Oct 29, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 29, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 28, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 27, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 26, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$69.23Oct 25, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?$119.40Oct 24, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $400.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".