Bouncy-Desire
0x1c4a93afb58696532d3d2f03e5065d042dd5f5e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
11545 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.86
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
5179 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1527 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-754.10
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
1500 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-348.00
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
1242 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.19
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
1003 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-175.60
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?
841 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
600 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-128.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
475 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$296.10Apr 1, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$296.10Apr 1, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$66.19Mar 2, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$64.00Mar 2, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$73.50Feb 16, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.20Feb 14, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$14.80Feb 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$329.84Feb 13, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$100.00Jan 30, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$200.00Jan 30, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$100.00Jan 30, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$414.96Jan 30, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$957.86Jan 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?$75.60Jan 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?$100.00Jan 21, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?$399.99Jan 21, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?$500.00Jan 21, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?$29.52Jan 21, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?$2.50Jan 21, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?$50.00Jan 21, 13:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $100.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".