Scholarly-Effector
0x1c4db01a2ad2e17a0d1f24e701693838ffde5a2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
1105 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?
543 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
531 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 10?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?
465 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
380 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
327 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 9?
276 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.66
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (Low) $3.15 by March 31?$7.30Mar 30, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.90Mar 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$5.40Mar 23, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir reach $249 in November?$510.00Mar 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$13.92Mar 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.14Dec 20, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir reach $249 in November?$508.47Nov 27, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$420.00Nov 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$407.40Nov 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 10?$2.00Nov 8, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$550.00Nov 3, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$549.45Oct 30, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$390.00Oct 29, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mackenzie Hughes win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?$460.12Oct 29, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?$4.08Sep 25, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mackenzie Hughes win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?$459.54Aug 5, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$386.88Jul 25, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?$195.22Jun 23, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 3-9?$0.00Jun 23, 01:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $423.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".