Far-Probability
0x1c50c2d1d691bc3aacc49ea9ca8a90a0027ed904
Quality score
59/100
Open positions
60
Open notional
$17.08
Total PnL
$-83.78
Realised
$3.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17 shares @ 11.1¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$-0.62
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 59°F or below on April 25?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.89
$-0.10
- TORONTO FC
Spread: Toronto FC (-2.5)
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.87
$-0.10
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?$1.0031m ago
- REDEEMLightning vs. Canadiens$2.051h ago
- REDEEMWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMOver $5M committed to the Bitway public sale?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMOver $10M committed to the Bitway public sale?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMOver $3M committed to the Bitway public sale?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMETHGAS FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in January?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$0.009h ago
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$0.009h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16d ago
- Last active
- 31m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.