Nocturnal-Vendor
0x1c5813ee23c348e75db6c26044c094ffac06d938
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$219.26
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026?
170 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$170.00
$85.00
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.20
$0.20
- YES
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$10.07
$0.07
- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$10.07
$0.06
- YES
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- YES
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
3 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$0.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
3900 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026?
170 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 7AM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026?$170.00Feb 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$173.99Feb 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$176.73Feb 13, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group C$10.62Feb 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Group C$10.00Feb 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$10.00Feb 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$10.00Feb 12, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Feb 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 12, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 16:39 UTC
- MERGEDid Al Warda blow up?$190.00Feb 12, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Feb 12, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$10.20Feb 12, 16:19 UTC
- SPLITDid Al Warda blow up?$190.00Feb 9, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$20.00Feb 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$10.00Feb 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$49.73Feb 9, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ET$4.26Feb 9, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ET$2.00Feb 6, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$50.00Feb 6, 16:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $53.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.