Playful-Improvement
0x1c622f9d7b0f0ad389f5b5d078232ff1e84357d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-746.81
Win rate
1%
192 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
103 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-28.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-26.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
50 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.68
- NEPAL
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)
46 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
45 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
35 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
33 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.37
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
33 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
33 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.04Aug 16, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.59Aug 16, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.56Aug 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.04Aug 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$0.23Aug 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.06Aug 15, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.05Aug 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.04Aug 15, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$3.54Aug 15, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.01Aug 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.04Aug 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$1.03Aug 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.05Aug 15, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.08Aug 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.10Aug 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.03Aug 15, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.03Aug 15, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
68/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 192 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
192 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 14:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 192 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.