Wary-Diesel
0x1c6bc5ad476edd976bb6d75eca071a84d0f65be6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 1-7?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
866 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 15?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 4?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?
345 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.10 October 20-26?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
238 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$103.10May 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$103.01May 26, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$94.09May 23, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.02May 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.00May 22, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?$1.07May 22, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$94.00May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$104.10May 21, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$104.01May 21, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$104.10May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$104.01May 13, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?$18.02May 13, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$86.09May 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$86.00May 8, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$86.09May 8, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?$18.00May 6, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$1.07May 6, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?$86.01May 6, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.01May 6, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$105.11May 6, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $69.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 22:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".