Left-Talking
0x1c6dd9c5ab05e5cafd6960b920d54ee12a798cc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$117.93
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET
1200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 12AM ET
1067 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 19?
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
665 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1AM ET
472 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET
449 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 7AM ET
422 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?$3.45Jul 11, 12:58 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.48Jul 9, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$8.02Jul 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 0 DR Congo?$4.07Jul 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$2.17Jul 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$5.97Jul 1, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?$11.57Jul 1, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 1?$20.58Jul 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 1?$24.78Jul 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 1?$25.71Jul 1, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5$15.31Jul 1, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?$12.26Jun 30, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?$59.09Jun 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?$6.16Jun 30, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 1?$18.58Jun 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$3.12Jun 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$10.82Jun 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$21.63Jun 30, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?$15.49Jun 30, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$60.49Jun 29, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $15.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 12:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.