Scrawny-Lottery
0x1c6de7cc0edae3f5af8a19c9421c99a2a100e2f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$13.55
Total PnL
$-40.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
142 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$-0.57
- YES
US x China Military clash before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-1.25
- YES
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-2.82
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
8500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$3.00Jan 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?$1.00Jan 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?$2.00Jan 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China Military clash before 2027?$1.00Jan 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$2.00Jan 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$2.00Jan 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.76Jan 18, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.21Jan 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Jan 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?$3.00Jan 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$1.00Jan 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico handshake last 2–6 seconds?$1.00Jan 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$1.00Jan 18, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 12, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$10.00Jan 12, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?$1.00Dec 31, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 31?$1.00Dec 31, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$12.00Dec 31, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Dec 29, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".