Only-Mandarin
0x1c6e70e3329229b648e1d401f024d903d9ae1ca0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$42.47
Total PnL
$-58.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
27 shares @ 36.4¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$4.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.69
$-0.07
- YES
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$4.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$3.99
$-1.01
- YES
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$3.85
$-0.15
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
101 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Benjamin Netanyahu arrested in 2024?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 12, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 12, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jun 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.07Jun 12, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.09Jun 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.81Jun 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.52Jun 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$5.00Nov 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$5.00Nov 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00Nov 12, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BONK be listed first on Robinhood?$13.89Nov 12, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?$14.79Nov 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBenjamin Netanyahu arrested in 2024? $2.00Nov 27, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $BONK be listed first on Robinhood?$10.00Nov 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?$10.00Nov 26, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?$17.69Nov 26, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?$20.00Nov 24, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k today?$0.00Nov 24, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$5.00Nov 24, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.