Polite-Moccasins
0x1c6f1a0682239acbb16d9f3c2e0475cdca2173e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$60.70
Total PnL
$-64.76
Realised
$3.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$20.51
$10.66
- NO
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
16 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$16.25
$3.25
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$13.51
$3.51
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.43
$0.43
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
187 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.90
- NO
Will Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?
32 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$10.00Feb 11, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$5.00Feb 2, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$10.00Feb 1, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$11.90Feb 1, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?$11.06Feb 1, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$9.00Feb 1, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?$5.00Jan 31, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$14.88Jan 31, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$25.00Jan 31, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$15.00Jan 30, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?$11.57Jan 30, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Punxsutawney Phil see his shadow?$5.00Jan 30, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$19.85Jan 30, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.00Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss vs. Georgia$0.00Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?$0.00Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$0.00Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 30, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on January 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 30, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC in January?$10.00Jan 30, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.