Flaky-Site
0x1c70db585aa310496a9517c0de0e00e825fb6b34
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$35.64
Total PnL
$-13.71
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
12 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$12.05
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.20
$0.78
- YES
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$5.30
$0.02
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.12
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$0.16
- YES
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?
16 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.12Mar 5, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.30Mar 5, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$4.88Mar 4, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$12.00Mar 4, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$5.28Mar 4, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?$35.77Mar 4, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?$35.63Feb 9, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$35.63Feb 9, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$35.59Jan 21, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.66Jan 21, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$27.12Jan 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$3.28Dec 15, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$8.61Dec 15, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$13.00Dec 15, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.00Dec 15, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$27.90Dec 15, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$13.80Nov 27, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$12.00Nov 27, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$29.20Nov 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$29.00Nov 11, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $13.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".