Lawful-Cheddar
0x1c74c20196e94a26c1d13e52f050549debec00bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$109.41
Win rate
85%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- UNDER
Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UNDER
Leicester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4AM ET
2250 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-38.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12AM ET
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
1299 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-90.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1250 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-64.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1030 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
700 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-178.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.40Jul 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$2.59Jul 15, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Hungary vs Estonia$24.72Jul 10, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Hungary vs Estonia$27.30Jul 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Hungary vs Estonia$22.75Jul 10, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season$106.04Jul 8, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$0.00Jun 25, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.16Jun 25, 10:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.73Apr 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$8.00Apr 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.00Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.08Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.26Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.05Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.61Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.37Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.12Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1.06Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.26Apr 14, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
85% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $10.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 23:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.