Quiet-Making
0x1c797c8f02852c8447374851262cac7b52794092
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-61.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?
184 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 5?
159 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?
131 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 3?
101 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on February 1?
98 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.37
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?
92 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 22?
90 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?
87 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?
85 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?
75 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$117.83Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$8.15Jul 14, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 15?$107.21Jul 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?$1.97Jul 2, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 1?$155.26Jun 1, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on June 1?$152.31May 31, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$3.35May 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$2.55May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?$1.96May 24, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$127.00May 22, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$124.46May 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$1.84May 15, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$133.03May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$131.83May 10, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 1?$26.01May 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$2.46Apr 28, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $134 Week of April 13 2026?$140.77Apr 25, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17?$16.28Apr 17, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $134 Week of April 13 2026?$139.22Apr 16, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$155.42Apr 16, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $45.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.