Close-Soprano
0x1c7aec15d9be906c486b170e97affc1e36dd9882
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$6.56
Total PnL
$-7.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.56
$3.56
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Joe Rogan be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the People-Animals-Nature Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Movement Together win the most seats in the next Albanian election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
19 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
5 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Dec 31, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by March 31, 2026?$2.00Nov 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$2.00Oct 16, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$1.00Oct 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 3-5?$1.00Oct 4, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$0.00Oct 4, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$1.15Oct 4, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?$1.12Oct 4, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?$1.00Sep 17, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$1.00Sep 8, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$0.75Sep 8, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$0.29Sep 8, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Aug 3, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMBoxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2$3.95Aug 3, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2$3.00Jul 15, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.00Jul 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$0.99Jul 6, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US military action against Iran by June 30?$2.04Jul 3, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$1.00Jul 3, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".