Polite-Extremist
0x1c81bf1ab2912528241eaffacb5a95252d6c3e62
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-193.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on December 6?
289 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.79
- COLUMBIA LIONS
Columbia Lions vs. Connecticut Huskies
287 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?
283 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on November 10?
282 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 13?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.85
- DOWN
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 12?
277 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 6?
277 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?
276 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 17?
276 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 11?
275 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$103.78Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 31?$99.11May 31, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?$131.10May 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?$8.92May 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 24?$121.00May 23, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 22?$1.98May 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?$2.69May 20, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29?$26.97May 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 12?$2.93May 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?$29.83May 7, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$77.69May 1, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 19?$1.65Apr 18, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$74.58Apr 18, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 1?$81.43Apr 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$2.12Apr 10, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on November 9?$0.00Apr 10, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 1?$27.23Apr 1, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on April 1?$80.29Mar 31, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DAX (DAX) hit 19200 (LOW) in March?$2.40Mar 31, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 1-7?$0.00Mar 31, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 01:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".