Hot-Parameter
0x1c879a989cc99c35f55844dbaddca6ac42732a6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.49
Total PnL
$-22.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.02
- NO
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.07
$0.01
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 94.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.35
$-0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 7?
5188 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.19
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 8?
1089 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 23?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 4?
1066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
1065 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 13?
1059 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.06May 21, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.06May 13, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$2.36May 5, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$1.02May 4, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.04May 4, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.24May 4, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.04Apr 22, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.16Apr 10, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?$2.13Mar 17, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?$0.00Mar 17, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 4?$2.13Mar 4, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?$3.17Feb 27, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 23?$2.15Feb 23, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 13?$4.23Feb 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 8?$0.01Feb 8, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 8?$3.23Feb 8, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.02Feb 8, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?$1.01Feb 2, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 31?$1.0KFeb 1, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.30 and $2.40 on January 31?$1.0KJan 31, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $366.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".