Whimsical-Nightingale
0x1c8d9d4528927fc152979b1ceb556eff8e90f7f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-152.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will there be 150-200k jobs added in January 2025?
284 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-54.58
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
63 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?
21 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 7?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
16 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$20.49Apr 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$9.23Apr 30, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Jan 12, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 12, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$3.85Dec 21, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?$12.82Dec 18, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.54Dec 16, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMFC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score$4.17Dec 15, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?$5.00Dec 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score$2.00Dec 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$3.80Dec 13, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.49Dec 13, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Bill" or "Clinton" during the next White House press briefing?$5.00Dec 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?$1.90Dec 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?$6.41Dec 11, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$9.87Dec 8, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$0.60Dec 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$1.20Dec 7, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".