Lumpy-Spawn
0x1c8dcbfe3fa95e6be2fc60dafa01d07f79fd2792
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-25.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
170 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.10
$0.08
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.48
$-0.52
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- YES
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by September 30?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
30 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
20 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
19 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-9.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$9.21Sep 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$7.55Sep 14, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$5.00Sep 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$0.00Sep 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Novak Djokovic win the 2025 US Open?$0.00Sep 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emma Raducanu win the 2025 US Open?$0.00Sep 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?$0.00Sep 14, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$0.00Sep 14, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$5.41Sep 5, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.30Sep 5, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Aug 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Aug 30, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$2.25Aug 30, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 29, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 29, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emma Raducanu win the 2025 US Open?$1.00Aug 29, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Rybakina win the 2025 US Open?$2.00Aug 29, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?$5.00Aug 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?$5.00Aug 29, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.