Phony-Availability
0x1c8dd5ce51d9cda669162c9a72dcc1d288bf7a26
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-102.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on January 20?
215 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 11?
193 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.50 on April 18?
184 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5?
122 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- NO
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
121 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 31?
96 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.69
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET
92 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 January 19-25?
87 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 27?
80 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Arthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?
77 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$61.04Jun 1, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$0.17Jun 1, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$59.47Jun 1, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$64.51May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 25?$62.51May 24, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$64.78May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$63.29May 16, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$55.61May 9, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$0.11May 8, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?$54.39May 8, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 26?$65.55Apr 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 26?$64.04Apr 27, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 13 2026?$62.08Apr 27, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on April 18?$2.77Apr 19, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of April 13 2026?$60.59Apr 17, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 29?$68.92Apr 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5?$1.57Apr 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2?$2.48Apr 3, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Apr 3, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$4.71Mar 31, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $36.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.