Swift-Metallurgist
0x1c9e1c8b572d778194050ac8f5026c7fa6068d54
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$164.40
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$-4.6K
Win rate
0%
190 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 22?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$23.88
$3.88
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 22?
23 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$22.99
$4.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 23?
24 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$22.20
$3.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 23?
28 shares @ 70.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$21.14
$1.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?
25 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$18.63
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 23?
22 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$18.48
$0.88
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?
25 shares @ 78.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$17.75
$-1.75
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 23?
23 shares @ 83.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$16.45
$-2.64
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 22?
24 shares @ 80.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.88
$-16.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.01
$-20.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 22?$23.29Jun 22, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$6.86Jun 22, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$5.17Jun 22, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$11.34Jun 22, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$9.09Jun 22, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jun 22, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$13.97Jun 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$11.06Jun 22, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$12.13Jun 22, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$9.49Jun 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$50.93Jun 22, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$12.56Jun 22, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$0.00Jun 22, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?$18.50Jun 22, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?$25.00Jun 22, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 190 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
190 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 190 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.