Sneaky-Halt
0x1ca3b226866ee38d19fae9a414805f4a4174afc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$39.97
Total PnL
$-318.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?
30 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$30.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 22?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$9.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
835 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- UP
FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on March 13?
627 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-313.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 22?$10.00Jul 22, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?$30.00Jul 22, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 21?$10.02Jul 21, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 21?$30.04Jul 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 21?$10.00Jul 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on July 21?$30.00Jul 21, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 20?$30.03Jul 20, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 20?$10.01Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 20?$10.00Jul 20, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 20?$30.00Jul 20, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.90 July 13-19?$10.02Jul 20, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.85 on July 18?$30.12Jul 19, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.90 July 13-19?$10.00Jul 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.85 on July 18?$30.01Jul 18, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?$10.03Jul 17, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$30.06Jul 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?$10.00Jul 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 17?$30.00Jul 17, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 16?$30.09Jul 16, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?$10.05Jul 16, 16:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $20.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.