Total-Makeover
0x1ca424f0be6bc2d8baec26298a55e75ab48884f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-244.47
Realised
$-15.42
Win rate
0%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
33 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
33 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.33
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
29 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
24 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
18 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
18 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
15 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
14 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 18?$1.07Aug 18, 10:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.69Aug 17, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.61Aug 16, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.03Aug 16, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.20Aug 16, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.31Aug 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.19Aug 16, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.20Aug 16, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.43Aug 16, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.70Aug 16, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.07Aug 16, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.55Aug 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.19Aug 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.13Aug 16, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.86Aug 16, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.20Aug 16, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Aug 16, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
53 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 10:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.