Forked-Playground
0x1ca5a483c1f00aef3b6a6b8e9ca20e9dc3b8d8af
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$28.28
Total PnL
$-46.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.44
$1.44
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.34
$0.34
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 31, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$10.06May 31, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$10.87May 31, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$22.20Nov 5, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$20.00Nov 5, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$23.24Nov 5, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$20.00Oct 9, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$5.00Sep 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.00Sep 27, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS defaults on debt in 2025?$7.30Sep 27, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$17.45Sep 27, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$10.00Sep 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$7.14Sep 2, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$9.39Sep 2, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?$11.63Sep 2, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$5.00Sep 2, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?$6.76Aug 19, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?$5.00Aug 15, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?$5.00Jul 31, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?$10.00Jul 31, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".