Shocking-Sculptural
0x1cb3d0f3517171e4c74bad2f190e86b82460e690
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$9.99Feb 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$299.69Feb 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$300.00Feb 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?$299.09Feb 22, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?$300.00Feb 22, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$298.59Feb 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$9.96Feb 21, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$9.99Feb 21, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$300.00Feb 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$20.00Feb 21, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 19?$20.02Feb 21, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$20.04Feb 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$299.69Feb 19, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$300.00Feb 19, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$299.09Feb 19, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 19?$20.00Feb 19, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$300.00Feb 19, 05:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 19, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?$299.69Feb 18, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $253.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.