Lone-Thorn
0x1cb63fd92efcaaf359ffdf301c40674b2ed793f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$13.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
508 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$498.63
$42.03
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
344 shares @ 95.5¢·now 90.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$310.52
$-18.49
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
250 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$231.31
$18.88
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
136 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$127.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
129 shares @ 75.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$113.97
$16.28
- NO
Will Trump say "Oman" this week?
121 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$110.44
$11.44
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$106.33
$6.68
- YES
Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$102.81
$2.81
- NO
Will Trump say "Uber" this week?
102 shares @ 78.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$87.03
$7.03
- YES
Will the announcers say "Trump" during UFC 250?
66 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$64.44
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$4.09Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$123.73Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$100.15Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$128.23Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$43.08Jun 13, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$34.52Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$107.53Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$100.21Jun 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$253.01Jun 12, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$29.14Jun 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Uber" this week?$80.70Jun 12, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$174.20Jun 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oman" this week?$99.71Jun 12, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$106.11Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Díaz be in Colombia's Starting 11?$58.80Jun 12, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's remarks not air?$58.63Jun 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Trump" during UFC 250?$64.75Jun 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Freedom" during UFC 250?$47.70Jun 11, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$9.72Jun 11, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$102.68Jun 11, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $102.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.