Second-Hand-Wrinkle
0x1cb7991db7ded86fd5d12ec5395c533d19c11429
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.92
Total PnL
$-201.76
Realised
$29.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.57
$0.57
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
3 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
219 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.27
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
194 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.01
- YES
Will there be exactly one announced new U.S. armed forces strike against drug boats in 2025?
147 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$2.00Jun 5, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$3.00Jun 4, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?$3.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$3.00Jun 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?$2.00Jun 3, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?$1.00Jun 3, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$6.14Jun 3, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?$1.00Jun 3, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?$1.00Jun 3, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$1.00Jun 3, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$1.00Jun 2, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$1.00Jun 2, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.99Jun 2, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.29Jun 1, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.09Jun 1, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$3.00Jun 1, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$0.00May 27, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$6.64May 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$6.56May 25, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".