Even-Insolence
0x1cb79ced09255d1e198b99e2f25461ace5780a58
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.55Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 20, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$40.36Jan 20, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$40.00Oct 26, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$51.68Oct 4, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$51.80Oct 4, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on June 24?$3.00Jun 24, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorida vs. Auburn$109.88Apr 5, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?$0.00Apr 5, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?$41.06Apr 5, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?$40.32Mar 13, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$40.32Mar 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$37.50Feb 21, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$34.07Feb 21, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?$28.10Feb 4, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?$12.11Feb 4, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $215 on January 24?$17.17Feb 4, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $215 on January 24?$15.80Jan 22, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$18.05Jan 22, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration?$0.00Jan 22, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $555.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.