Grimy-Conflict
0x1cbef3a763733c9e23c87e957fffe7226416a872
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-19.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Turkey by September 30?
10 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.00
$0.14
- NO
USDT depeg in 2025?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.14
- YES
Will Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?
30 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
11 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?$12.52Oct 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?$1.22Oct 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Mandate" 6+ times during October press conference?$2.75Oct 29, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Edging" 3+ times during October press conference?$2.60Sep 23, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 21, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 21, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$11.00Sep 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDT depeg in 2025?$4.86Sep 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paxos win the USDH ticker?$0.47Sep 12, 02:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Sep 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Native Markets win the USDH ticker?$10.37Sep 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$17.48Sep 11, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$17.49Sep 11, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150K in September?$4.91Sep 11, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in September?$4.92Sep 11, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?$17.75Sep 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?$17.77Sep 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$17.22Sep 11, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$17.24Sep 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?$8.88Sep 11, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.