Unwieldy-Karate
0x1cc01632846d147d5c40dae74237121571c5c6a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$38.86
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 4?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
213 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
104 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
95 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
78 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-43.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.06Jul 21, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.49Jul 21, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.02Jul 21, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.86Jul 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.04Jul 20, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.15Jul 20, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$6.53Jul 20, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.06Jul 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.12Jul 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.24Jul 20, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$5.09Jul 20, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2.33Jul 20, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.82Jul 20, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.20Jul 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$7.94Jul 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.13Jul 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.35Jul 19, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.