Intentional-Tadpole
0x1cc15b3c8b9a8efa44eade1349e6d7c6b08ba345
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-67.15
Realised
$-72.05
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?
619 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 4, 2026$616.10
$1.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 3?
375 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 3, 2026$370.06
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 66°F or higher on May 4?
239 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$237.68
$0.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 57°F or below on May 3?
130 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$129.94
$0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?
103 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$102.46
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on May 2?
102 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$101.95
$0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 4?
100 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 4, 2026$99.65
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 3?
98 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 3, 2026$97.72
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C or below on May 4?
90 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 4, 2026$89.82
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 4?
90 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 4, 2026$89.69
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?$6.0021m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 2?$5.0021m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on May 2?$215.1426m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$11.0635m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$8.9235m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$6.0035m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?$19.9636m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 61°F or below on May 3?$9.9840m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$1.1741m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$3.5141m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?$3.9942m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$32.5543m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$39.7243m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?$39.7643m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 3?$4.1044m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 3?$9.9646m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 3?$9.9746m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 3?$40.9348m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C or below on May 3?$6.3848m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 3?$19.9650m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $13.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 21m ago
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".