Watchful-Application
0x1cd0827d568990b02db2faea7428a76987a2881c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$25.00
Total PnL
$-17.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.06
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$5.00
$2.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 8AM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 11AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 29, 3PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 6, 12AM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6PM ET$2.55Feb 24, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 28, 4AM ET$2.55Jan 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 26, 8AM ET$2.55Jan 26, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET$1.75Jan 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 11PM ET$2.50Jan 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 6, 12AM ET$1.85Jan 6, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 9, 11AM ET$2.55Dec 9, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 9, 11AM ET$2.55Dec 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.55Dec 9, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.50Dec 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$0.05Dec 8, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - November 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Dec 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 29, 3PM ET$2.55Nov 29, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$2.55Nov 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$4.94Nov 28, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 4, 3AM ET$2.55Nov 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$4.60Nov 3, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 3, 4AM ET$2.55Nov 3, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.00Oct 31, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".