Lighthearted-Serum
0x1cdd917d039e2d97c4dd2e4115c7ead017942dfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-522.38
Realised
$8.88
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
88 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.36
- YES
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
79 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-01-12?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-31?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGirona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5$1.00Feb 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGirona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5$1.00Feb 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$1.00Feb 16, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMRCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5$2.22Feb 16, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?$2.63Feb 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5$1.00Feb 15, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?$1.00Feb 15, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC: O/U 2.5$1.00Feb 15, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5$1.00Feb 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?$1.00Feb 15, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?$4.26Feb 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14?$1.50Feb 14, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$1.50Feb 14, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?$2.00Feb 14, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMFC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5$4.08Feb 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPisa SC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5$2.00Feb 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5$2.00Feb 13, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".