Insidious-Baggage
0x1ce392a208a3722045c57f92d0eac67cf73b1858
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$2.94
Total PnL
$-217.15
Realised
$1.67
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- YES
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Plovdiv host Eurovision 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.35
$-0.65
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBirmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet$1.35Jun 2, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.06Jun 2, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.07Jun 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.38Jun 2, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$0.62Jun 2, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.04Jun 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.05Jun 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.32Jun 2, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.70Jun 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.05Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.02Jun 2, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.18Jun 2, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.05Jun 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.02Jun 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPerugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni$1.02Jun 2, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBirmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvet$1.01Jun 2, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYProstejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich$1.01Jun 2, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$2.86Jun 2, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.03Jun 2, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".