Live-Castanet
0x1ce62deef6c5112e58e9cb8a18d996877c86678c
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to no prison time?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$16.10Feb 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?$5.00Feb 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.55Dec 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Do Kwon be sentenced to no prison time?$2.00Dec 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET$10.00Oct 2, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$0.00Oct 1, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Turkson be the next pope?$0.00Oct 1, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - September 30, 5PM ET$0.00Oct 1, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 30, 5PM ET$1.00Sep 30, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?$9.74Sep 30, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win on 2025-09-30?$4.00Sep 30, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown by October 1?$6.46Sep 30, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$4.81Sep 29, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on September 19?$1.00Sep 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Turkson be the next pope?$5.00May 5, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$10.00May 5, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".