Hard-Walrus
0x1ce841ef9b06b27491ae9f65606c91466932efb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$29.06
Total PnL
$3.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?
29 shares @ 47.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$29.06
$15.23
- YES
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?
33 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.81
- YES
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 180-199 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.65Mar 29, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 19?$13.83Mar 19, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?$8.81Mar 7, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?$0.00Mar 6, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?$22.77Feb 22, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$0.00Feb 19, 22:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Feb 19, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KFeb 18, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.1KFeb 18, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game MVP?$4.56Feb 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be greater than 2,300,000?$30.89Feb 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be greater than 2,300,000?$25.23Feb 6, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.00Feb 2, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.68Jan 30, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$0.00Jan 23, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$1.77Jan 17, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET$13.37Jan 11, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET$6.82Jan 6, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$37.25Dec 12, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $86,000 on November 24?$0.00Dec 5, 04:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $184.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 09:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".