Sophisticated-Diffuse
0x1cea7e0f730cac9ab64826bf9279b9f6670cac28
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$-278.48
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.45
$0.45
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
150 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Andrey Esipenko win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-09 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
50 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-39.74
- YES
Will Andrey Esipenko win on 2026-04-12 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
26 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump re-sues WSJ by May 31?$30.03May 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump re-sues WSJ by May 31?$30.00May 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$25.09May 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$10.01May 24, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?$10.10May 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$0.13May 3, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.02May 3, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.36May 3, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$1.03May 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$5.05May 3, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$5.10May 2, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$2.05Apr 14, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$2.34Apr 14, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Apr 14, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.18Apr 14, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".