0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee
0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$63.44
Total PnL
$-7.36
Realised
$-1.22
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.13
$4.13
- YES
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2430 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.37
$3.65
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2371 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.30
$-1.10
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.97
$2.13
- YES
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
198 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$1.09
- YES
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3117 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.56
$-7.79
- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.47
$-4.41
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 18.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.45
$-0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.00Jun 4, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$0.00Jun 4, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?$0.00Jun 4, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.00May 31, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$29.69May 31, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01May 30, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.02May 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.28May 30, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.22May 28, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 28, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?$0.00May 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 on May 28?$0.00May 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 28, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $95 on May 14?$3.54May 28, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 on May 28?$1.07May 28, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 27?$1.00May 28, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?$0.00May 26, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.