Third-Concentration
0x1cec2ac64d16a2ce2192c6850a3942746137aa99
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.67
Total PnL
$-2.28
Realised
$-0.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.11
$1.11
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
4 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.52
$0.52
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.12
$0.00
- NO
Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.56
$0.00
- NO
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$257.74Nov 25, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.00Nov 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$10.00Nov 22, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$259.86Nov 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$273.56Nov 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$275.40Nov 22, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?$2.00Nov 22, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$1.15Nov 22, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Star Toomey win Survivor 48?$2.04Nov 22, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMRepublika Srpska declares independence?$2.20Nov 22, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?$2.00Apr 4, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?$1.00Apr 4, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?$1.00Apr 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$1.00Apr 4, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.96Apr 4, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.02Apr 4, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMPKK removed from U.S. terror list before April?$2.06Apr 4, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRepublika Srpska declares independence?$2.00Mar 3, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPKK removed from U.S. terror list before April?$2.00Mar 3, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?$1.00Mar 3, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $28.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".