Severe-Brush
0x1cf061a8b33437164519648eaf379960d1350c5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.34
Total PnL
$-23.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
30 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.34
$-0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dalibor Dvorsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
90 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
33 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$6.36Feb 23, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$6.07Feb 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$6.00Feb 19, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS defaults on debt by 2027?$1.32Feb 19, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$4.96Feb 19, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.01Feb 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.14Feb 18, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?$1.65Feb 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 477 Million subscribers by March 31?$7.90Feb 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$9.00Feb 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$9.62Feb 10, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7.00Feb 10, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$6.00Feb 10, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt by 2027?$0.37Feb 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt by 2027?$1.87Feb 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.27Feb 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.03Feb 10, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".