Knotty-Origin
0x1cf928847e5ea848e9e0d1ba2d1f25f39f9ab7d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NRG
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)
455 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
409 shares @ 74.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-305.71
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Predators
400 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-368.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
400 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- FLUXO
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Fluxo (BO3)
360 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- CAVALIERS
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
278 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- EAGLES
Bears vs. Eagles
263 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- MAVERICKS
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
208 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$3.56Jan 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$8.12Jan 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$3.25Jan 16, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$8.70Jan 1, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$561.80Jan 1, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.6KJan 1, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSomalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?$4.06Jan 1, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLSomalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?$25.03Dec 30, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$100.00Dec 25, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$119.99Dec 25, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$442.65Dec 25, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $120 before 2026?$16.80Dec 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $120 before 2026?$11.60Dec 17, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMKraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5$196.08Dec 17, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$200.00Dec 17, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUtah vs. Red Wings$59.00Dec 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Bulls$50.00Dec 17, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. 76ers$50.00Dec 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken vs. Utah: O/U 5.5$100.00Dec 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mavericks (-8.5)$100.00Dec 12, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $63.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 22:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".