Droopy-Octagon
0x1cfba6f6d77c8851adf835f8a2671282b8abe628
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$226.63
Total PnL
$3.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?
124 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$123.09
$5.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
111 shares @ 90.3¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$98.55
$-1.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?$5.12Jul 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?$101.24Jul 14, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?$1.06Jul 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?$0.98Jul 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?$1.03Jul 14, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?$17.55Jul 14, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?$101.48Jul 14, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 13?$22.13Jul 14, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$105.93Jul 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$19.40Jul 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$11.89Jul 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$61.00Jul 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?$1.13Jul 13, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$1.02Jul 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?$1.03Jul 13, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?$1.03Jul 13, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 13?$1.03Jul 13, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $31.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.