Bleak-Ethyl
0x1cfd1a0c8924c46126f66230a113f939e4cb0bfe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.92
Total PnL
$-56.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$3.92
$1.92
- NO
Biden drops out in July?
131 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
LayerZero airdrop in 2023?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.00Jul 20, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out in July? $55.00Jul 20, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?$1.00Nov 7, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?$1.00Nov 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLayerZero airdrop in 2023?$1.10Nov 7, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?$0.13Jan 10, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $12.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".