Watchful-Payee
0x1d00b7300dd41c743fb688c028325db876a9e1e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-177.01
Realised
$-14.86
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 52 million views on day 5?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 44 million views on day 3?
220 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-91.60
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 44 and 45 million views on day 3?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?
80 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 53.5 million views on day 5?
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
50 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.55
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?
15 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.05Aug 6, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.13Aug 6, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.05Aug 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.09Aug 6, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.04Aug 6, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.15Aug 6, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$6.03Aug 6, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$4.18Aug 6, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.13Aug 6, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.22Aug 6, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July?$10.13Jul 3, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 52 million views on day 5?$3.15Jul 2, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 53.5 million views on day 5?$4.50Jul 2, 01:51 UTC
- REWARD$2.48Jul 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?$2.04Jul 1, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?$0.58Jul 1, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 4?$2.17Jul 1, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?$9.00Jul 1, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?$19.30Jul 1, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 51 million views on day 4?$2.20Jul 1, 03:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.