Violent-Hospice
0x1d0237e3272c18887fc945b5bc5e4a00bc0582bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$21.45
Total PnL
$-147.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
204 shares @ 36.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.45
$-52.05
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
204 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Pope be Black?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$73.50Mar 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$73.50Mar 9, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$21.28Mar 9, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?$33.33Mar 9, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $62.17May 2, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $300b and $310b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $320b and $330b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? $100.00May 1, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his University of Alabama commencement speech?$3.00May 1, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$315.06May 1, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$22.50Apr 29, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?$22.50Apr 29, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$76.96Apr 29, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?$76.95Apr 29, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$21.14Apr 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $320b and $330b on April 30?$10.00Apr 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?$40.72Apr 29, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?$5.00Apr 29, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $23.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.