Glaring-Marimba
0x1d099afffcb0589a1e32f2d4ac9ac7e50c806d4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-100.74
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
4762 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
3786 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-119.99
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
2481 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-120.69
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14
1748 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
1557 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-133.47
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4
1085 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-77.26
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
861 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-338.96
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34
750 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?
636 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
568 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-122.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Nebraska Presidential Election?$37.20Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$37.51Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $40.00Nov 5, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins a solid red state?$40.00Nov 5, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $48.96Nov 5, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$10.00Nov 5, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump get less than 66m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$14.83Nov 5, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4$10.00Nov 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14$10.00Nov 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$30.00Nov 5, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 1 swing state?$10.00Nov 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 2 swing states?$20.00Nov 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 3 swing states?$20.00Nov 5, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 4 swing states?$30.00Nov 5, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 1 swing state?$20.00Nov 5, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $50.00Nov 5, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?$20.00Nov 5, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$10.00Nov 5, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more? $20.00Nov 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$30.00Nov 5, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $29.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 13:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".