Carefree-Convection
0x1d1f142bbfc136d03d98cd651164081ed4186d3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.65
Total PnL
$-95.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
37 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.36
$-0.98
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
12 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$-0.92
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
981 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.80 in March?
572 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.67
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
226 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
213 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
118 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$3.66Mar 29, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Mar 29, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.00Mar 29, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1.00Mar 29, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?$3.34Mar 29, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$1.00Mar 29, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$4.33Mar 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$2.21Mar 29, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$4.00Mar 29, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?$5.00Mar 29, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$5.00Mar 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$11.21Mar 28, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Mar 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in March?$5.67Mar 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$5.00Mar 28, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$1.81Mar 28, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 28, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.00Mar 2, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Mar 2, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Mar 2, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $5.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 17:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 23:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".