Bad-Chrome
0x1d1fd1b1679c90856b0206a98171e107495ee428
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-680.39
Realised
$-16.92
Win rate
32%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 18?
1400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 25?
1181 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 13?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?
979 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 8?
584 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?
402 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
362 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.98Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?$1.04Jul 1, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 1?$0.12Jul 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 1?$0.20Jul 1, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?$0.06Jul 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 1?$0.26Jul 1, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or higher on July 1?$19.15Jul 1, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?$1.92Jul 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?$4.78Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on July 2?$1.60Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on July 1?$0.29Jul 1, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?$0.10Jul 1, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 1?$0.84Jul 1, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?$2.29Jul 1, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 1?$0.52Jul 1, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?$1.05Jul 1, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?$0.17Jul 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 1?$0.61Jul 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?$1.05Jul 1, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 1?$0.16Jul 1, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
31 closed markets, 32% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 15:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.